Footnotes

This page contains clickable versions of all the footnotes in RAFT 2035.


  1. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandlifeexpectancies/bulletins/healthstatelifeexpectanciesuk/2016to2018
  2. https://www.finder.com/life-insurance/odds-of-dying
  3. https://www.lifespan.io/road-maps/the-rejuvenation-roadmap/
  4. https://juvenescence.ltd/
  5. https://www.ft.com/content/30bb0752-6d5e-11e8-92d3-6c13e5c92914
  6. https://parteifuergesundheitsforschung.de/about_us
  7. https://scholar.harvard.edu/cutler/publications/substantial-health-and-economic-returns-delayed-aging-may-warrant-new-focus
  8. https://www.undoing-aging.org/
  9. https://www.lifespan.io/
  10. https://www.sens.org/
  11. https://parteifuergesundheitsforschung.de/about_us
  12. https://www.longevityinternational.org/
  13. https://lifespanbook.com/
  14. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/45358658-nano-comes-to-life
  15. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/46404234-the-switch
  16. https://academic.oup.com/ppar/article/29/4/116/5585525
  17. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34397791-the-longevity-code
  18. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36112397-juvenescence
  19. https://theabolitionofaging.com/
  20. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/26835475-the-aging-gap-between-species
  21. https://www.leafscience.org/ending-aging/
  22. https://humanhealthspan.com/
  23. http://digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB21748
  24. https://www.mind.org.uk/information-support/types-of-mental-health-problems/statistics-and-facts-about-mental-health/how-common-are-mental-health-problems/
  25. https://www.mentalhealth.org.uk/statistics/mental-health-statistics-suicide
  26. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3131101/
  27. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/478.Bowling_Alone
  28. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/33584231-the-strange-death-of-europe
  29. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/05/29/james-mattis-a-warrior-in-washington
  30. https://transtechlab.org/
  31. https://siyli.org/
  32. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/190994/imperial-launches-worlds-first-centre-psychedelics/
  33. https://maps.org/
  34. http://www.cohack.org/
  35. https://www.collectivepsychology.org/
  36. https://www.happierlivesinstitute.org/
  37. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/18878780-the-righteous-mind
  38. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/33844386-the-myth-gap
  39. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/30317415-stealing-fire
  40. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34466963-why-we-sleep
  41. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36613747-how-to-change-your-mind
  42. https://transpolitica.org/projects/transcending-politics/work-and-purpose/
  43. https://transpolitica.org/projects/transcending-politics/
  44. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/20578356-with-liberty-and-dividends-for-all
  45. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22928874-rise-of-the-robots
  46. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/31176295-the-economic-singularity
  47. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34466958-bullshit-jobs
  48. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40717359-hedge
  49. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36204293-the-war-on-normal-people
  50. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/50092989-automation-and-utopia
  51. http://www.millennium-project.org/projects/workshops-on-future-of-worktechnology-2050-scenarios/
  52. https://www.ohchr.org/en/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=23881
  53. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-46662909
  54. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_homeless_population
  55. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/apr/30/chinese-construction-firm-erects-57-storey-skyscraper-in-19-days
  56. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/
  57. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/6-an-abundance-of-food-and-water/
  58. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/
  59. https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/01/16/home-ownership-is-the-wests-biggest-economic-policy-mistake
  60. https://builtincommon.org/
  61. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34959327-the-wizard-and-the-prophet
  62. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/31258173-food-fight
  63. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/15843186-radical-abundance
  64. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/13187824-abundance
  65. https://www.khanacademy.org/
  66. https://www.duolingo.com/
  67. https://www.42.us.org/
  68. https://www.theschooloflife.com/
  69. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/38820046-21-lessons-for-the-21st-century
  70. https://edtechdigest.com/
  71. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/2546421.Disrupting_Class
  72. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqTTojTija8
  73. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDZFcDGpL4U
  74. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/yearendingdecember2018
  75. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/38212153-click-here-to-kill-everybody
  76. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22318398-future-crimes
  77. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/96477.The_Transparent_Society
  78. https://pjammer.livejournal.com/151502.html
  79. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40180025-army-of-none
  80. https://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/artificial-intelligence/why-you-should-fear-slaughterbots-a-response
  81. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/16700084-divided-nations
  82. https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/migration-advisory-committee
  83. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/immigration-migration-advisory-committee-productivity-skill-gdp-brexit-a8542841.html
  84. https://www.economist.com/the-world-if/2017/07/13/a-world-of-free-movement-would-be-78-trillion-richer
  85. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_border#List_of_groups_of_states_with_common_open_borders
  86. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leviathan_(Hobbes_book)
  87. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/33584231-the-strange-death-of-europe
  88. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40876575-utopia-for-realists
  89. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/43999257-what-do-we-know-and-what-should-we-do-about-immigration
  90. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/8856773-exceptional-people
  91. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/4-determining-priorities/
  92. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/
  93. https://www.amazon.co.uk/Democracy-Human-Federation-Coexisting-Superintelligence/dp/1689622334/
  94. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uks-carbon-footprint
  95. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/climate-change-as-a-threat-multiplier/
  96. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/may/23/hitting-toughest-climate-target-will-save-world-30tn-in-damages-analysis-shows
  97. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/5-an-abundance-of-energy/
  98. https://transpolitica.org/projects/abundance-manifesto/
  99. https://www.edx.org/course/making-sense-of-climate-science-denial
  100. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/41552709-the-uninhabitable-earth
  101. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/45897523-blowout
  102. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40538538-goliath
  103. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36722606-taming-the-sun
  104. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/32075449-the-ends-of-the-world
  105. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/16291969-the-infinite-resource
  106. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/21913812-this-changes-everything
  107. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/7799004-merchants-of-doubt
  108. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/43822733-more-from-less
  109. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/29214420-doughnut-economics
  110. https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/planetary-boundaries/planetary-boundaries/about-the-research/the-nine-planetary-boundaries.html
  111. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/05/eating-meat-future-socially-unacceptable-obsolete
  112. https://www.adamsmith.org/research/dont-have-a-cow-man-the-prospects-for-lab-grown-meat
  113. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/17160008-feral
  114. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/36101304-clean-meat
  115. https://www.hedweb.com/gene-drives/index.html
  116. https://www.meatable.com/
  117. https://www.peta.org.uk/living/vegan-meats/
  118. https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/library/national/science/nasa/122568sci-nasa-macleish.html
  119. https://www.saga.co.uk/magazine/entertainment/nostalgia/moon-landing-anniversary
  120. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-48912458
  121. https://www.ida.org/-/media/feature/publications/e/ev/evaluation-of-a-human-mission-to-mars-by-2033/d-10510.ashx
  122. http://100photos.time.com/photos/nasa-earthrise-apollo-8
  123. https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/moon-earth-moon/
  124. https://www.marssociety.org/
  125. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt6223974/
  126. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42046662-the-case-for-space
  127. https://www.iter.org/
  128. http://www.psfc.mit.edu/sparc
  129. https://www.tokamakenergy.co.uk/
  130. https://firstlightfusion.com/
  131. https://www.ft.com/content/a8d0a7e4-20e3-11ea-b8a1-584213ee7b2b
  132. https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/trust-politicians-falls-sending-them-spiralling-back-bottom-ipsos-mori-veracity-index
  133. https://www.edelman.com/trust-barometer
  134. https://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/data/themes.html?t=politics
  135. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First-past-the-post_voting#List_of_former_FPTP_countries
  136. https://transpolitica.org/projects/transcending-politics/democracy-and-inclusion/
  137. https://transpolitica.org/projects/transcending-politics/
  138. https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/
  139. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/12158480-why-nations-fail
  140. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/25814409-american-amnesia
  141. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/39979237-moneyland
  142. https://transpolitica.org/2019/12/10/a-reliability-index-for-politicians/
  143. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Dalberg-Acton,_1st_Baron_Acton
  144. https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/how-the-science-of-blue-lies-may-explain-trumps-support/
  145. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/46758636-don-t-be-evil
  146. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/44767248-human-compatible
  147. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40909439-zucked
  148. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/44154569-the-ai-does-not-hate-you
  149. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/39383637-the-blockchain-and-the-new-architecture-of-trust
  150. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/26195941-the-age-of-surveillance-capitalism
  151. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/39403470-the-people-vs-tech
  152. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/38819346-future-politics
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Recent Posts

RAFT 2035 – a new initiative for a new decade

The need for a better politics is more pressing than ever.

Since its formation, Transpolitica has run a number of different projects aimed at building momentum behind a technoprogressive vision for a better politics. For a new decade, it’s time to take a different approach, to build on previous initiatives.

The planned new vehicle has the name “RAFT 2035”.

RAFT is an acronym:

  • Roadmap (‘R’) – not just a lofty aspiration, but specific steps and interim targets
  • towards Abundance (‘A’) for all – beyond a world of scarcity and conflict
  • enabling Flourishing (‘F’) as never before – with life containing not just possessions, but enriched experiences, creativity, and meaning
  • via Transcendence (‘T’) – since we won’t be able to make progress by staying as we are.

RAFT is also a metaphor. Here’s a copy of the explanation:

When turbulent waters are bearing down fast, it’s very helpful to have a sturdy raft at hand.

The fifteen years from 2020 to 2035 could be the most turbulent of human history. Revolutions are gathering pace in four overlapping fields of technology: nanotech, biotech, infotech, and cognotech, or NBIC for short. In combination, these NBIC revolutions offer enormous new possibilities – enormous opportunities and enormous risks:…

Rapid technological change tends to provoke a turbulent social reaction. Old certainties fade. New winners arrive on the scene, flaunting their power, and upturning previous networks of relationships. Within the general public, a sense of alienation and disruption mingles with a sense of profound possibility. Fear and hope jostle each other. Whilst some social metrics indicate major progress, others indicate major setbacks. The claim “You’ve never had it so good” coexists with the counterclaim “It’s going to be worse than ever”. To add to the bewilderment, there seems to be lots of evidence confirming both views.

The greater the pace of change, the more intense the dislocation. Due to the increased scale, speed, and global nature of the ongoing NBIC revolutions, the disruptions that followed in the wake of previous industrial revolutions – seismic though they were – are likely to be dwarfed in comparison to what lies ahead.

Turbulent times require a space for shelter and reflection, clear navigational vision despite the mists of uncertainty, and a powerful engine for us to pursue our own direction, rather than just being carried along by forces outside our control. In short, turbulent times require a powerful “raft” – a roadmap to a future in which the extraordinary powers latent in NBIC technologies are used to raise humanity to new levels of flourishing, rather than driving us over some dreadful precipice.

The words just quoted come from the opening page of a short book that is envisioned to be published in January 2020. The chapters of this book are reworked versions of the scripts used in the recent “Technoprogressive roadmap” series of videos.

Over the next couple of weeks, all the chapters of this proposed book will be made available for review and comment:

  • As pages on the Transpolitica website, starting here
  • As shared Google documents, starting here, where comments and suggestions are welcome.

RAFT Cover 21

All being well, RAFT 2035 will also become a conference, held sometime around the middle of 2020.

You may note that, in that way that RAFT 2035 is presented to the world,

  • The word “transhumanist” has moved into the background – since that word tends to provoke many hostile reactions
  • The word “technoprogressive” also takes a backseat – since, again, that word has negative connotations in at least some circles.

If you like the basic idea of what’s being proposed, here’s how you can help:

  • Read some of the content that is already available, and provide comments
    • If you notice something that seems mistaken, or difficult to understand
    • If you think there is a gap that should be addressed
    • If you think there’s a better way to express something.

Thanks in anticipation!

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